Poll: Toomey over Specter by 14 points
Democrats found to lack enthusiasm
Former U.S. Rep. Pat Toomey has opened up a 14-point lead among likely voters in his bid to deny U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter a sixth term, according to the latest Daily News/Franklin & Marshall Poll.
Poll director G. Terry Madonna said that the results reflect a growing national Republican resurgence mixed with a lack of Democratic enthusiasm as the two parties battle over issues like health care and the economy.
Specter, who switched from Republican to Democrat in April, was tied at 30 percent in a general election match-up with Toomey among registered voters, with 35 percent undecided, the poll found.
But Toomey jumped out to a 14- point lead when the poll targeted “likely voters,” people who said they are certain to vote and are paying close attention to the race.
Among that group, Toomey led Specter 45-31 percent, with 20 percent undecided.
“I can’t deny it’s all very encouraging,” Toomey said. “But I’m also very aware of the fact that the election is nine months away. A lot can happen. So I’m going to run like I’m 20 points behind.”
Specter, who narrowly beat Toomey in the 2004 Republican primary, declined to comment on the poll yesterday.
Toomey, who lives near Allentown, left his congressional seat for the 2004 race.
U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is leaving his Delaware County congressional seat to challenge Specter in the primary, also came up a loser against Toomey in the poll. Toomey led Sestak among registered voters by 28-16 percent with 51 percent undecided.
With likely voters, Toomey’s lead on Sestak grew to 41-19 percent with 37 percent undecided.
Sestak was unavailable for comment yesterday, a campaign spokesman said.
The poll found health care, the economy and jobs to be the top issues in the race.
The winner of the May 18 Democratic primary will have to deal with what Madonna calls the “enthusiasm gap.”
Madonna notes that 47 percent of the registered Republicans in the poll said that they were likely to vote in the Nov. 2 general election, while only 35 percent of the Democrats felt the same way. He attributes that to national news of Democrats’ struggling to implement their policies in Washington despite control of the White House and Congress. [emphasis mine]
Madonna pointed to Republican wins in races for governor in New Jersey and Virginia last year and in a U.S. Senate race in Massachusetts this month as proof that the GOP is energized and that many Democrats are staying home.
In Pennsylvania’s race for governor, Madonna found the candidates so unrecognizable to voters that their current standing in the poll means little.
Seven in 10 people in the poll had no opinion on that race.
“They have no state name recognition,” Madonna said of the candidates. “The fact is, the race is in a very inchoate form, a form that has yet to take shape.”
The poll showed state Attorney General Tom Corbett leading state Rep. Sam Rohrer 23-5 percent in the Republican gubernatorial primary, with 69 percent undecided.
Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato led the Democrats with 10 percent while state Auditor General Jack Wagner, Scranton Mayor Chris Doherty and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel each had 4 percent; 72 percent said that they were undecided.
The poll of 1,165 people, conducted from Jan. 18-24, has a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percent.
Latest Commentary
Posted in Latest Commentary on January 27, 2010 | 1 Comment »
Defeating America‘s True Nemesis
By Jerry A. Kane and Peter W. Cooper
The first three words of the Preamble to the U.S. Constitution, WE THE PEOPLE, are capitalized and written larger than the others for they contain the idea of self-government. The Constitution’s beginning phrase presupposes the belief set forth in the Declaration of Independence that liberty is an unalienable right and gift from man’s Creator that cannot be bestowed by other men or governments.
The men who signed the Declaration of Independence, wrote the Constitution, and openly rebelled against a tyrannical monarch and his governing elites believed in a God-given right to individual liberty and a representative government of the people, by the people, and for the people.
Similarly, the grassroots Americans in today’s tea party movement want to secure liberty, curtail the power of a central government, and cast off the tyranny of a ruling elite. The tea parties that sprang up across the nation last year were clarion calls to the leaders of the republic to honor the founding principles in the Declaration of Independence and uphold the Constitution as originally conceived, and to do battle with the statist progressive enemy which now threatens our republic.
However, a feud has erupted among tea party activists. They have become increasingly divided on how to fight America’s new tyrannical nemesis. Should tea partiers start another political party to shape policy and elections at local, state, and national levels, or do they join the Republican Party or a third party in an attempt to change the current direction of the country?
The individual’s right of free association, which has served American society so very well, has always permitted ignorant or wicked people to unite in ways that threaten individual liberty. People who contend that real liberty derives from membership in a just and good collective are statists. Statists advocate and promote the decisive use of state power through a foreign notion of collective liberty that looks to a governing elite as the beneficent arbiters of a superior society. They believe such arbiters know best and will determine the good and how best to pursue that good for the personal happiness of the common man.
America’s Founders knew such aristocratic, autocratic elitism leads to tyranny and serfdom, so they devised the Constitution to protect individual liberty and to limit the power of federal officeholders whose ambition is to rule rather than serve. Today far too many political and civic leaders as well as their sycophants in the media, academia, and the judiciary have subverted the principles of liberty outlined in the Constitution and embraced and promoted a statist progressive notion of collective liberty.
Historically, Americans have understood that individual liberty means the freedom to act according to one’s moral sense of right and wrong and to associate and trade freely with others to produce or to acquire goods and services that are necessary for one’s pursuit of happiness. But over the decades, statist progressives have gradually shifted the power from the American electorate to a centralized government by legislating and adjudicating issues of individual liberty at the federal level, rather than at the state and local levels.
Statist progressives posit that a collectivist mindset is necessary for “progress” and accordingly deem all political ideologies that emphasize the pre-eminence of individual liberty to be inherently regressive, thereby consigning them to the ash heap of history. Instead of protecting and defending the Constitution, statist progressives continually and deliberately subvert the very idea of the American Republic. They are radicals who strive to expand federal power, bypass constitutional limitations, pressure government officials to violate their oaths of office, and seek to subordinate the American people to supranational governance in service of a greater collective.
The tea party movements signify that the Spirit of ’76 has awakened for many Americans who are now raising their voices to preserve their birthright and to challenge the statist progressives’ radical view of liberty and the apologists who uncritically defend it.
Even though progressive statists are in a minority in the United States, they rule the Democrat Party and control the leadership of the House, Senate, and Presidency. If tea partiers remain divided against this common enemy, attempts to save the Republic will fail miserably and the country will fall inexorably to ruin in the clutches of elitist tyrants and one-party rule. Edmund Burke’s advice is as sound today as it was some 200 years ago.
“When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall one by one, an unpitied sacrifice in a contemptible struggle.”
Rest assured the Spirit of ’76 is not dead; it is only slumbering. As Thomas Jefferson aptly noted, “[T]he body of the American people is substantially republican.” And so it remains to this day, which means it is not nor has it ever been socialist.
However, if tea partiers decide to support a new political party or third party candidates, their votes will be divided to allow the abominable statist progressive monster to remain in power and grow even larger and more menacing.
Let history record that in 2010 WE THE PEOPLE corrected the direction of the United States and began the restoration of the Republic, which stands under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.
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